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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest81%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest18%2 more
$55KVol. Jul 31science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman98%9 more
$656KVol. Jul 30science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

2000+96%
1800+96%4 more
NEW $9.1KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
40-50mm1%6 more
$10KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm67%
40-50mm
40-50mm7%5 more
$4.8KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
55%YesNo
1
34%YesNo
$3.7KVol. Jul 19science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
14%YesNo
7
14%YesNo
$4.2KVol. Jul 19science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3153%
December 31
December 3149%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC45%
1.25–1.29ºC25%4 more
$11KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

<400mm
<400mm28%
500-525mm
500-525mm23%8 more
$4.8KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

5-6"
5-6"57%
2-3"
2-3"28%4 more
$2.4KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

11%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science